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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Anderlecht cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over St. Truiden.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Anderlecht beat St. Truiden 0-2 at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, Regular Season - 18, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting St. Truiden 1.21 xG and Anderlecht 1.44 xG, a combined 2.65. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. St. Truiden fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of St. Truiden attack 1.00 / defence 1.12 against Anderlecht attack 1.28 / defence 0.71, drawn from 47/47 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it St. Truiden 28% | Draw 33% | Anderlecht 39%, with Anderlecht to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (St. Truiden 47%, Anderlecht 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

St. Truiden's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Anderlecht's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Anderlecht arrived the stronger side — 1.88 PPG against 1.25. The form guide was vindicated by the result. St. Truiden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Anderlecht (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights