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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Anderlecht edge out RAAL La Louvière 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Anderlecht beat RAAL La Louvière 0-1 at Easi Arena, Regular Season - 15, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RAAL La Louvière 0.82 xG and Anderlecht 0.85 xG, a combined 1.67. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. RAAL La Louvière fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RAAL La Louvière attack 0.67 / defence 0.82 against Anderlecht attack 1.02 / defence 0.90, drawn from 14/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RAAL La Louvière 30% | Draw 38% | Anderlecht 32%, with the draw its most likely call at 38%. The actual Anderlecht win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 23%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 51% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 34% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RAAL La Louvière 46%, Anderlecht 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RAAL La Louvière's trading profile (43 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and conceded here.

Anderlecht's trading profile (43 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 33% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — RAAL La Louvière 1.84 PPG, Anderlecht 1.60 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Anderlecht win broke the near-deadlock. RAAL La Louvière (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.48 scoring average — below par going forward. Anderlecht (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights