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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Den Dreef

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

46%

OH Leuven

2.18

29%

Draw

3.48

25%

Genk

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.89

1.21

Genk xG

46%
29%
25%
OH LeuvenDrawGenk

2.18

46%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

30%

OH Leuven

3.36

19%

Genk

5.35

Win to Nil

14%

OH Leuven

7.33

5%

Genk

21.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.7 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.3 11.3 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.4 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.677
λ Away (xG) 1.213
Total xG 2.890
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.088
OH Leuven attack strength 1.022
OH Leuven defence strength 1.073
Genk attack strength 1.039
Genk defence strength 1.048
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33