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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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OH Leuven cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Beerschot VA.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

OH Leuven beat Beerschot VA 2-0 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Jupiler Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting OH Leuven 1.69 xG and Beerschot VA 0.56 xG, a combined 2.25. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of OH Leuven attack 0.77 / defence 0.75 against Beerschot VA attack 0.69 / defence 1.34, drawn from 49/19 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it OH Leuven 62% | Draw 28% | Beerschot VA 10%, with OH Leuven to win its most likely call at 62%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (OH Leuven 37%, Beerschot VA 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

OH Leuven's trading profile (49 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.

Beerschot VA's trading profile (49 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — OH Leuven 1.16 PPG, Beerschot VA 1.39 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the OH Leuven win broke the near-deadlock. OH Leuven (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.92 average — tighter than their form line. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights