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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 8

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

17:15

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

51%

KV Mechelen

1.98

28%

Draw

3.60

22%

Standard Liege

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.78

1.07

Standard Liege xG

51%
28%
22%
KV MechelenDrawStandard Liege

1.98

51%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

34%

KV Mechelen

2.90

18%

Standard Liege

5.56

Win to Nil

17%

KV Mechelen

5.74

4%

Standard Liege

25.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.6 11.3 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.7 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.715
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.781
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.074
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.069
Standard Liege attack strength 0.897
Standard Liege defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60