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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

69%

KV Mechelen

1.45

22%

Draw

4.52

9%

Standard Liege

11.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.85

0.70

Standard Liege xG

69%
22%
KV MechelenDrawStandard Liege

1.45

69%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

11.34

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

50%

KV Mechelen

2.01

12%

Standard Liege

8.64

Win to Nil

34%

KV Mechelen

2.91

1%

Standard Liege

97.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.4 8.7 3.0 0.7 0.1
2 13.4 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 9.6 6.7 2.3 0.5 0.1
4 5.2 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.156
λ Away (xG) 0.698
Total xG 2.854
League avg home goals 1.652
League avg away goals 1.054
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.213
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.000
Standard Liege attack strength 0.663
Standard Liege defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49