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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

17:15

Venue

Achter de Kazerne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

53%

KV Mechelen

1.89

26%

Draw

3.83

21%

Gent

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.88

1.08

Gent xG

53%
26%
21%
KV MechelenDrawGent

1.89

53%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

34%

KV Mechelen

2.94

16%

Gent

6.08

Win to Nil

18%

KV Mechelen

5.55

3%

Gent

28.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.9 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.9 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.805
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.882
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.097
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.115
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.003
Gent attack strength 0.979
Gent defence strength 1.071
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33