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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

17:15

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

52%

KV Mechelen

1.94

28%

Draw

3.61

21%

Genk

4.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

3.05

1.16

Genk xG

52%
28%
21%
KV MechelenDrawGenk

1.94

52%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

4.82

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

31%

KV Mechelen

3.20

15%

Genk

6.57

Win to Nil

16%

KV Mechelen

6.20

3%

Genk

31.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 10.4 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 6.2 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.883
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 3.046
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.072
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.121
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.933
Genk attack strength 1.163
Genk defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51