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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 2

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

62%

KV Mechelen

1.62

22%

Draw

4.58

16%

Dender

6.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

3.48

1.16

Dender xG

62%
22%
16%
KV MechelenDrawDender

1.62

62%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

6.11

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

31%

KV Mechelen

3.19

10%

Dender

10.16

Win to Nil

19%

KV Mechelen

5.17

2%

Dender

62.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.1 8.3 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 9.6 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 7.4 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.7 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.318
λ Away (xG) 1.161
Total xG 3.479
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.080
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.080
Dender attack strength 0.966
Dender defence strength 1.460
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 30