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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

64%

KV Mechelen

1.56

20%

Draw

4.88

16%

Dender

6.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.52

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

3.75

1.23

Dender xG

64%
20%
16%
KV MechelenDrawDender

1.56

64%

Home win

4.88

20%

Draw

6.42

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

29%

KV Mechelen

3.42

8%

Dender

12.37

Win to Nil

19%

KV Mechelen

5.35

1%

Dender

79.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 5.9 7.3 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 9.2 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.3 7.7 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.9 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.515
λ Away (xG) 1.230
Total xG 3.745
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.092
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.130
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.119
Dender attack strength 1.007
Dender defence strength 1.543
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 29