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KV Mechelen vs Antwerp – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

50%

KV Mechelen

1.98

30%

Draw

3.38

20%

Antwerp

5.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.92

1.11

Antwerp xG

50%
30%
20%
KV MechelenDrawAntwerp

1.98

50%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

5.01

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

33%

KV Mechelen

3.04

16%

Antwerp

6.11

Win to Nil

17%

KV Mechelen

6.02

3%

Antwerp

30.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.8 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 5.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.810
λ Away (xG) 1.111
Total xG 2.921
League avg home goals 1.738
League avg away goals 1.014
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.252
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.044
Antwerp attack strength 1.050
Antwerp defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47