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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Group - 39

Kick-off

Thu 21 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

37%

Gent

2.71

28%

Draw

3.63

36%

Union St. Gilloise

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Gent xG

Total xG

2.41

1.19

Union St. Gilloise xG

37%
28%
36%
GentDrawUnion St. Gilloise

2.71

37%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

30%

Gent

3.30

30%

Union St. Gilloise

3.39

Win to Nil

11%

Gent

8.96

11%

Union St. Gilloise

9.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 10.7 6.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.9 13.0 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.9 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.220
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Gent attack strength 1.138
Gent defence strength 0.954
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 0.948
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60