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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

38%

Gent

2.62

36%

Draw

2.75

26%

Union St. Gilloise

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Gent xG

Total xG

2.26

1.00

Union St. Gilloise xG

38%
36%
26%
GentDrawUnion St. Gilloise

2.62

38%

Home win

2.75

36%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

37%

Gent

2.72

29%

Union St. Gilloise

3.51

Win to Nil

14%

Gent

7.13

7%

Union St. Gilloise

13.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 10.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.3 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.024
Gent attack strength 0.939
Gent defence strength 0.915
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.068
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.870
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32