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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

42%

Gent

2.41

30%

Draw

3.33

28%

Charleroi

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Gent xG

Total xG

2.71

1.21

Charleroi xG

42%
30%
28%
GentDrawCharleroi

2.41

42%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

30%

Gent

3.36

22%

Charleroi

4.47

Win to Nil

12%

Gent

8.09

6%

Charleroi

15.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.1 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.0 12.1 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.497
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.708
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.171
Gent attack strength 1.129
Gent defence strength 0.950
Charleroi attack strength 1.090
Charleroi defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39