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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Group - 35

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

17:15

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

40%

Genk

2.49

28%

Draw

3.51

31%

Standard Liege

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Genk xG

Total xG

2.27

1.05

Standard Liege xG

40%
28%
31%
GenkDrawStandard Liege

2.49

40%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

35%

Genk

2.85

29%

Standard Liege

3.39

Win to Nil

14%

Genk

7.11

9%

Standard Liege

10.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 10.8 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.2 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.1 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.222
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.270
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.321
Genk attack strength 1.049
Genk defence strength 0.933
Standard Liege attack strength 0.850
Standard Liege defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60