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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

17:15

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

67%

Genk

1.49

23%

Draw

4.27

9%

OH Leuven

10.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Genk xG

Total xG

2.83

0.73

OH Leuven xG

67%
23%
GenkDrawOH Leuven

1.49

67%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

10.56

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

48%

Genk

2.07

12%

OH Leuven

8.22

Win to Nil

32%

Genk

3.08

1%

OH Leuven

86.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.1
2 13.0 9.5 3.5 0.8 0.2
3 9.2 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.8 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.107
λ Away (xG) 0.728
Total xG 2.835
League avg home goals 1.604
League avg away goals 1.089
Genk attack strength 1.298
Genk defence strength 0.817
OH Leuven attack strength 0.818
OH Leuven defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50