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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Round - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

49%

Genk

2.06

33%

Draw

3.05

19%

Gent

5.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Genk xG

Total xG

2.09

0.75

Gent xG

49%
33%
19%
GenkDrawGent

2.06

49%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

5.36

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

47%

Genk

2.11

26%

Gent

3.81

Win to Nil

23%

Genk

4.35

5%

Gent

20.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 16.6 12.4 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.1 8.3 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.338
λ Away (xG) 0.748
Total xG 2.086
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
Genk attack strength 1.147
Genk defence strength 0.746
Gent attack strength 0.901
Gent defence strength 0.793
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60