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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

17:15

Venue

Dender Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

21%

Dender

4.69

36%

Draw

2.75

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Dender xG

Total xG

1.96

1.18

Union St. Gilloise xG

21%
36%
42%
DenderDrawUnion St. Gilloise

4.69

21%

Home win

2.75

36%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

31%

Dender

3.26

46%

Union St. Gilloise

2.19

Win to Nil

7%

Dender

15.30

19%

Union St. Gilloise

5.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 16.6 9.8 3.9 1.1 0.3
1 11.0 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.3 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.782
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 1.964
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.072
Dender attack strength 0.592
Dender defence strength 1.014
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.088
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36