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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 3

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

18:15

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Dender

3.18

35%

Draw

2.84

33%

Standard Liege

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Dender xG

Total xG

2.04

1.04

Standard Liege xG

31%
35%
33%
DenderDrawStandard Liege

3.18

31%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

35%

Dender

2.82

37%

Standard Liege

2.73

Win to Nil

11%

Dender

8.97

12%

Standard Liege

8.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.0 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.5 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.003
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.041
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
Dender attack strength 0.625
Dender defence strength 1.061
Standard Liege attack strength 0.880
Standard Liege defence strength 1.091
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60