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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 10

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

19:00

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

29%

Dender

3.50

36%

Draw

2.80

36%

KV Mechelen

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Dender xG

Total xG

1.97

1.05

KV Mechelen xG

29%
36%
36%
DenderDrawKV Mechelen

3.50

29%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

35%

Dender

2.86

40%

KV Mechelen

2.50

Win to Nil

10%

Dender

9.99

14%

KV Mechelen

6.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 14.7 7.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 12.8 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 5.9 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.915
λ Away (xG) 1.050
Total xG 1.965
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.113
Dender attack strength 0.667
Dender defence strength 1.077
KV Mechelen attack strength 0.876
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60