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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

31%

Dender

3.20

33%

Draw

3.06

36%

Gent

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Dender xG

Total xG

2.62

1.36

Gent xG

31%
33%
36%
DenderDrawGent

3.20

31%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

26%

Dender

3.91

28%

Gent

3.53

Win to Nil

8%

Dender

12.49

10%

Gent

9.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.9 6.7 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.1 12.5 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.8 7.9 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.262
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 2.625
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.087
Dender attack strength 0.790
Dender defence strength 1.331
Gent attack strength 0.942
Gent defence strength 0.997
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 50