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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Dender Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Anderlecht Win

28%

Dender

3.61

36%

Draw

2.77

36%

Anderlecht

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Dender xG

Total xG

1.96

1.06

Anderlecht xG

28%
36%
36%
DenderDrawAnderlecht

3.61

28%

Home win

2.77

36%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

35%

Dender

2.90

41%

Anderlecht

2.46

Win to Nil

10%

Dender

10.46

15%

Anderlecht

6.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 14.9 7.9 2.8 0.7 0.2
1 12.6 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.7 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.902
λ Away (xG) 1.063
Total xG 1.965
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.070
Dender attack strength 0.767
Dender defence strength 0.895
Anderlecht attack strength 1.110
Anderlecht defence strength 0.774
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33