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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Club Brugge KV cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over St. Truiden.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Club Brugge KV beat St. Truiden 2-0 at Jan Breydel Stadion, Championship Group - 37, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Club Brugge KV 1.68 xG and St. Truiden 1.56 xG, a combined 3.23. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. St. Truiden landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Club Brugge KV attack 1.41 / defence 1.05 against St. Truiden attack 1.13 / defence 0.89, drawn from 60/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Club Brugge KV 41% | Draw 23% | St. Truiden 36%, with Club Brugge KV to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Club Brugge KV 64%, St. Truiden 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Club Brugge KV's trading profile (72 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

St. Truiden's trading profile (72 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Club Brugge KV arrived the stronger side — 2.17 PPG against 1.50. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Club Brugge KV (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line. St. Truiden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights