🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Club Brugge KV cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over St. Truiden.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Club Brugge KV beat St. Truiden 2-0 at Jan Breydel Stadion, Regular Season - 8, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Club Brugge KV 1.47 xG and St. Truiden 1.05 xG, a combined 2.53. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. St. Truiden landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Club Brugge KV attack 1.21 / defence 0.90 against St. Truiden attack 1.02 / defence 0.88, drawn from 36/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Club Brugge KV 45% | Draw 30% | St. Truiden 25%, with Club Brugge KV to win its most likely call at 45%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Club Brugge KV 58%, St. Truiden 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 65%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Club Brugge KV's trading profile (43 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

St. Truiden's trading profile (43 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Club Brugge KV arrived the stronger side — 2.12 PPG against 1.28. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Club Brugge KV (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. St. Truiden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.19 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights