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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

17:15

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

50%

Charleroi

2.02

33%

Draw

3.01

17%

KV Mechelen

5.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.23

0.78

KV Mechelen xG

50%
33%
17%
CharleroiDrawKV Mechelen

2.02

50%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

5.82

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

46%

Charleroi

2.19

24%

KV Mechelen

4.24

Win to Nil

23%

Charleroi

4.41

4%

KV Mechelen

24.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 8.4 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.6 12.2 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 11.2 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.444
λ Away (xG) 0.783
Total xG 2.227
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 1.113
Charleroi attack strength 0.974
Charleroi defence strength 0.868
KV Mechelen attack strength 0.811
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58