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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RAAL La Louvière cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Cercle Brugge.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RAAL La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge 1-3 at Jan Breydel Stadion, Regular Season - 29, in the Jupiler Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Cercle Brugge 1.16 xG and RAAL La Louvière 1.45 xG, a combined 2.61. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. RAAL La Louvière outscored their 1.45 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Cercle Brugge attack 0.86 / defence 1.32 against RAAL La Louvière attack 0.87 / defence 1.05, drawn from 58/28 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Cercle Brugge 30% | Draw 26% | RAAL La Louvière 44%, with RAAL La Louvière to win its most likely call at 44%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 27% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Cercle Brugge 47%, RAAL La Louvière 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Cercle Brugge's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

RAAL La Louvière's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, RAAL La Louvière arrived the stronger side — 1.56 PPG against 1.14. Form held, and they took the win. Cercle Brugge (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.54 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RAAL La Louvière (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.39 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights