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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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KVC Westerlo cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Antwerp.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

KVC Westerlo beat Antwerp 0-2 at Bosuilstadion, Regular Season - 25, in the Jupiler Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Antwerp 1.44 xG and KVC Westerlo 1.19 xG, a combined 2.63. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Antwerp fell 1.4 short of their projected output. KVC Westerlo outscored their 1.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Antwerp attack 1.04 / defence 1.02 against KVC Westerlo attack 0.90 / defence 1.06, drawn from 54/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Antwerp 42% | Draw 27% | KVC Westerlo 30%, with Antwerp to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual KVC Westerlo win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Antwerp 47%, KVC Westerlo 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Antwerp's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

KVC Westerlo's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Antwerp 1.28 PPG, KVC Westerlo 1.23 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the KVC Westerlo win broke the near-deadlock. Antwerp (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.72 scoring average — below par going forward. KVC Westerlo (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.84 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights