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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 27 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Lotto Park

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Anderlecht Win

62%

Anderlecht

1.60

25%

Draw

4.07

13%

Dender

7.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Anderlecht xG

Total xG

2.99

0.90

Dender xG

62%
25%
13%
AnderlechtDrawDender

1.60

62%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

7.70

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

41%

Anderlecht

2.46

12%

Dender

8.04

Win to Nil

25%

Anderlecht

3.94

2%

Dender

61.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.5 9.5 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.6 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.0 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.085
λ Away (xG) 0.901
Total xG 2.986
League avg home goals 1.631
League avg away goals 1.066
Anderlecht attack strength 1.232
Anderlecht defence strength 0.852
Dender attack strength 0.991
Dender defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 19