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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Zulte Waregem cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over KRC Genk II.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Zulte Waregem beat KRC Genk II 3-1 at Elindus Arena, Regular Season - 23, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Zulte Waregem 2.69 xG and KRC Genk II 1.02 xG, a combined 3.72. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Zulte Waregem attack 1.56 / defence 0.97 against KRC Genk II attack 0.77 / defence 1.28, drawn from 51/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Zulte Waregem 72% | Draw 16% | KRC Genk II 12%, with Zulte Waregem to win its most likely call at 72%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 89% and landed. Over 3.5 was 51% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Zulte Waregem 58%, KRC Genk II 69%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Zulte Waregem's trading profile (52 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

KRC Genk II's trading profile (52 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Zulte Waregem arrived the stronger side — 1.90 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Zulte Waregem (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm. KRC Genk II (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 2.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights