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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as SK Beveren edge out Seraing United 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SK Beveren beat Seraing United 1-2 at Stade du Pairay, Regular Season - 34, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Seraing United 1.34 xG and SK Beveren 1.97 xG, a combined 3.31. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Seraing United attack 1.17 / defence 0.90 against SK Beveren attack 1.58 / defence 0.83, drawn from 59/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Seraing United 26% | Draw 22% | SK Beveren 52%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Seraing United 51%, SK Beveren 56%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Seraing United's trading profile (59 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

SK Beveren's trading profile (59 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 2.22 PPG against 0.97. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights