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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RSC Anderlecht II and Patro Eisden share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Burg Van De Wielestadion, Regular Season - 19, as RSC Anderlecht II and Patro Eisden drew 1-1 in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 xG and Patro Eisden 1.62 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.98 / defence 1.05 against Patro Eisden attack 1.14 / defence 0.85, drawn from 46/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 27% | Draw 25% | Patro Eisden 48%, with Patro Eisden to win its most likely call at 48%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 59%, Patro Eisden 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (46 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did.

Patro Eisden's trading profile (46 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Patro Eisden arrived the stronger side — 1.67 PPG against 1.04. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights