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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as Lokeren-Temse defy the odds to beat RSC Anderlecht II 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Lokeren-Temse beat RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 at Lotto Park, Regular Season - 11, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.32 xG and Lokeren-Temse 1.27 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.04 / defence 1.23 against Lokeren-Temse attack 0.74 / defence 0.99, drawn from 38/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 36% | Draw 30% | Lokeren-Temse 34%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual Lokeren-Temse win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 63%, Lokeren-Temse 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did.

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Lokeren-Temse arrived the stronger side — 1.37 PPG against 0.87. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights