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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant RSC Anderlecht II run riot with a 4-1 hammering of KRC Genk II.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RSC Anderlecht II beat KRC Genk II 4-1 at Burg Van De Wielestadion, Regular Season - 17, in the Challenger Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.69 xG and KRC Genk II 1.14 xG, a combined 2.83. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. RSC Anderlecht II beat their projection by 2.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.96 / defence 0.99 against KRC Genk II attack 0.84 / defence 1.27, drawn from 47/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 50% | Draw 24% | KRC Genk II 26%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 50%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 57%, KRC Genk II 72%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

KRC Genk II's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — RSC Anderlecht II 1.04 PPG, KRC Genk II 0.98 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the RSC Anderlecht II win broke the near-deadlock. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.30 average — above their attacking norm. KRC Genk II (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.96 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights