RSC Anderlecht II vs Francs Borains – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates RSC Anderlecht II's attack at 1.04x the league average against Francs Borains's defence at 1.20x — combine the two and it projects 1.90 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Francs Borains's attack versus RSC Anderlecht II's defence, projects 1.52 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.0%), 1-2 (7.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
RSC Anderlecht II Win
47%
2.14
22%
4.51
31%
3.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 2
7.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.90
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Total xG
3.42
1.52
Francs Borains xG
2.14
47%
Home win
4.51
22%
Draw
3.22
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.50
34%
BTTS No
2.98
Clean Sheet
22%
4.57
15%
6.69
Win to Nil
10%
9.78
5%
21.54
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 9.4 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for RSC Anderlecht II vs Francs Borains?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.7%.
How many goals are RSC Anderlecht II and Francs Borains expected to score?
The model projects 1.90 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.52 for Francs Borains, a combined total of 3.42.
How confident is the prediction model for RSC Anderlecht II vs Francs Borains?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.