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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant SK Beveren run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Patro Eisden.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SK Beveren beat Patro Eisden 1-4 at Patrostadion, Regular Season - 26, in the Challenger Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Patro Eisden 1.18 xG and SK Beveren 1.89 xG, a combined 3.06. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. SK Beveren outscored their 1.89 projection by 2.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Patro Eisden attack 1.03 / defence 0.97 against SK Beveren attack 1.46 / defence 0.86, drawn from 53/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Patro Eisden 24% | Draw 22% | SK Beveren 54%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 54%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. Over 3.5 was 37% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Patro Eisden 48%, SK Beveren 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Patro Eisden's trading profile (54 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

SK Beveren's trading profile (54 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Patro Eisden 1.78 PPG, SK Beveren 2.11 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the SK Beveren win broke the near-deadlock. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.26 concession average — a leakier day than usual. SK Beveren (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.81 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights