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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Beerschot VA run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Patro Eisden.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Beerschot VA beat Patro Eisden 0-4 at Patrostadion, Regular Season - 31, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Patro Eisden 1.07 xG and Beerschot VA 1.32 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Patro Eisden fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Beerschot VA outscored their 1.32 projection by 2.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Patro Eisden attack 0.97 / defence 1.07 against Beerschot VA attack 0.89 / defence 0.81, drawn from 58/29 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Patro Eisden 30% | Draw 27% | Beerschot VA 42%, with Beerschot VA to win its most likely call at 42%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 22% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Patro Eisden 52%, Beerschot VA 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Patro Eisden's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Beerschot VA's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Patro Eisden arrived the stronger side — 1.72 PPG against 1.25. Form was overturned, with Beerschot VA winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.75 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.34 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.03 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.72 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights