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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant SK Beveren run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Olympic Charleroi.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SK Beveren beat Olympic Charleroi 0-5 at Stade de la Neuville, Regular Season - 5, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Olympic Charleroi 0.59 xG and SK Beveren 2.27 xG, a combined 2.86. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. SK Beveren outscored their 2.27 projection by 2.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Olympic Charleroi attack 0.70 / defence 1.52 against SK Beveren attack 1.17 / defence 0.67, drawn from 4/33 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Olympic Charleroi 8% | Draw 16% | SK Beveren 76%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 76%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Olympic Charleroi 100%, SK Beveren 25%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Olympic Charleroi's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.

SK Beveren's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 0% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 100% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. Form held, and they took the win. Olympic Charleroi shipped 5 against a 3.25 concession average — a leakier day than usual. SK Beveren scored 5 against a 2.00 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights