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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as RAAL La Louvière edge out Lommel United 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RAAL La Louvière beat Lommel United 1-2 at Soeverein Stadion, Regular Season - 30, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lommel United 0.90 xG and RAAL La Louvière 1.43 xG, a combined 2.33. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lommel United attack 0.79 / defence 1.09 against RAAL La Louvière attack 1.06 / defence 0.82, drawn from 58/28 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lommel United 24% | Draw 27% | RAAL La Louvière 49%, with RAAL La Louvière to win its most likely call at 49%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lommel United 50%, RAAL La Louvière 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lommel United's trading profile (28 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

RAAL La Louvière's trading profile (28 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, RAAL La Louvière arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 1.07. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights