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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RWDM cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Lokeren-Temse.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RWDM beat Lokeren-Temse 1-3 at Daknamstadion, Regular Season - 2, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lokeren-Temse 1.21 xG and RWDM 1.33 xG, a combined 2.53. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. RWDM outscored their 1.33 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lokeren-Temse attack 0.99 / defence 0.96 against RWDM attack 1.01 / defence 0.93, drawn from 30/30 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Lokeren-Temse 34% | Draw 27% | RWDM 40%, with RWDM to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lokeren-Temse 44%, RWDM 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (32 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and conceded here.

RWDM's trading profile (32 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, RWDM arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 1.44. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Lokeren-Temse (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.13 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RWDM (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.53 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights