Lokeren-Temse vs RWDM – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Lokeren-Temse's attack at 0.75x the league average against RWDM's defence at 1.24x — combine the two and it projects 1.44 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — RWDM's attack (1.16x) against Lokeren-Temse's defence (0.91x) — and the away total comes out at 1.50.
These ratings are built from 13/13 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.2%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
RWDM Win
36%
2.74
25%
4.07
39%
2.57
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.6%
Away win
2 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.44
Lokeren-Temse xG
Total xG
2.94
1.50
RWDM xG
2.74
36%
Home win
4.07
25%
Draw
2.57
39%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.45
Clean Sheet
22%
4.47
24%
4.22
Win to Nil
8%
12.25
9%
10.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Lokeren-Temse vs RWDM?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.9%.
How many goals are Lokeren-Temse and RWDM expected to score?
The model projects 1.44 expected goals for Lokeren-Temse and 1.50 for RWDM, a combined total of 2.94.
How confident is the prediction model for Lokeren-Temse vs RWDM?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.