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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant RAAL La Louvière run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Lokeren-Temse.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RAAL La Louvière beat Lokeren-Temse 0-5 at Daknamstadion, Regular Season - 21, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lokeren-Temse 0.87 xG and RAAL La Louvière 1.20 xG, a combined 2.07. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. Lokeren-Temse fell 0.9 short of their projected output. RAAL La Louvière outscored their 1.20 projection by 3.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lokeren-Temse attack 0.65 / defence 0.97 against RAAL La Louvière attack 0.91 / defence 1.01, drawn from 19/20 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lokeren-Temse 27% | Draw 30% | RAAL La Louvière 44%, with RAAL La Louvière to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 61% and landed. Over 3.5 was 16% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lokeren-Temse 32%, RAAL La Louvière 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (19 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 32% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 47% of games, a blank that repeated today.

RAAL La Louvière's trading profile (19 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, RAAL La Louvière arrived the stronger side — 1.89 PPG against 0.95. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Lokeren-Temse (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.11 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RAAL La Louvière (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.56 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights