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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Lokeren-Temse and Patro Eisden share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Lokeren-Temse and Patro Eisden finished level at 1-1 at Daknamstadion, Regular Season - 19, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lokeren-Temse 1.22 xG and Patro Eisden 1.46 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lokeren-Temse attack 1.17 / defence 1.23 against Patro Eisden attack 0.88 / defence 0.76, drawn from 46/46 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lokeren-Temse 31% | Draw 26% | Patro Eisden 43%, with Patro Eisden to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lokeren-Temse 46%, Patro Eisden 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (50 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did.

Patro Eisden's trading profile (50 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Lokeren-Temse 1.38 PPG, Patro Eisden 1.72 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights