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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liège Win
55%
1.82
23%
4.39
22%
4.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.84
Liège xG
Total xG
2.93
1.09
Excelsior Virton xG
LiègeDrawExcelsior Virton
1.82
55%
Home win
4.39
23%
Draw
4.48
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
34%
2.98
16%
6.31
Win to Nil
18%
5.42
4%
28.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.842
λ Away (xG)
1.091
Total xG
2.933
League avg home goals
1.546
League avg away goals
1.358
Liège attack strength
1.036
Liège defence strength
0.945
Excelsior Virton attack strength
0.850
Excelsior Virton defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
32 / 0