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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liège Win
55%
1.82
23%
4.40
22%
4.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.84
Liège xG
Total xG
2.93
1.09
Dender xG
LiègeDrawDender
1.82
55%
Home win
4.40
23%
Draw
4.50
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
34%
2.97
16%
6.33
Win to Nil
19%
5.40
4%
28.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.845
λ Away (xG)
1.089
Total xG
2.934
League avg home goals
1.546
League avg away goals
1.358
Liège attack strength
1.037
Liège defence strength
0.943
Dender attack strength
0.850
Dender defence strength
1.150
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
32 / 0