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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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SK Beveren cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Kortrijk.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SK Beveren beat Kortrijk 1-3 at Guldensporen Stadion, Regular Season - 9, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kortrijk 0.72 xG and SK Beveren 1.42 xG, a combined 2.13. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. SK Beveren outscored their 1.42 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kortrijk attack 0.88 / defence 0.73 against SK Beveren attack 1.39 / defence 0.72, drawn from 8/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kortrijk 18% | Draw 28% | SK Beveren 53%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 63% and landed. Over 3.5 was 17% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kortrijk 62%, SK Beveren 51%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kortrijk's trading profile (39 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

SK Beveren's trading profile (39 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 49% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.36. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Kortrijk (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.30 concession average — a leakier day than usual. SK Beveren (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.65 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights