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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as RSC Anderlecht II edge out KAA Gent II 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RSC Anderlecht II beat KAA Gent II 0-1 at Planet Group Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting KAA Gent II 1.29 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.57 xG, a combined 2.86. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. KAA Gent II fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of KAA Gent II attack 0.87 / defence 1.15 against RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.99 / defence 1.13, drawn from 1/30 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it KAA Gent II 31% | Draw 25% | RSC Anderlecht II 44%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 44%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 78% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 100% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (KAA Gent II 100%, RSC Anderlecht II 100%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 100%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, KAA Gent II arrived the stronger side — 3.00 PPG against 0.00. Form was overturned, with RSC Anderlecht II winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. KAA Gent II managed 0 against a 4.00 scoring average — below par going forward. RSC Anderlecht II conceded 0 against a 3.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights