🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at KAA Gent II's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Planet Group Arena, Regular Season - 7, as KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. drew 0-0 in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting KAA Gent II 0.95 xG and K. Lierse S.K. 0.94 xG, a combined 1.89. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. KAA Gent II fell 1.0 short of their projected output. K. Lierse S.K. landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of KAA Gent II attack 0.78 / defence 1.07 against K. Lierse S.K. attack 0.67 / defence 1.05, drawn from 5/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it KAA Gent II 33% | Draw 35% | K. Lierse S.K. 32%, with the draw its most likely call at 35%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 58% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 30% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (KAA Gent II 40%, K. Lierse S.K. 20%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 30%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

KAA Gent II's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.

K. Lierse S.K.'s trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 20% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 60% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — KAA Gent II 1.40 PPG, K. Lierse S.K. 1.20 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. KAA Gent II managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line. K. Lierse S.K. managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights