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Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 19 Dec 2026

19:00

Venue

Herman Vanderpoortenstadion

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

K. Lierse S.K. Win

38%

K. Lierse S.K.

2.60

25%

Draw

4.08

37%

KRC Genk II

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

K. Lierse S.K. xG

Total xG

2.95

1.46

KRC Genk II xG

38%
25%
37%
K. Lierse S.K.DrawKRC Genk II

2.60

38%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

23%

K. Lierse S.K.

4.31

22%

KRC Genk II

4.45

Win to Nil

9%

K. Lierse S.K.

11.20

8%

KRC Genk II

12.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.6 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.8 11.4 8.3 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.5 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.9 4.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.493
λ Away (xG) 1.460
Total xG 2.953
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.358
K. Lierse S.K. attack strength 0.886
K. Lierse S.K. defence strength 1.039
KRC Genk II attack strength 1.035
KRC Genk II defence strength 1.089
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32