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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 23 Jan 2027

19:00

Venue

Herman Vanderpoortenstadion

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

K. Lierse S.K. Win

46%

K. Lierse S.K.

2.17

25%

Draw

4.02

29%

Excelsior Virton

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

K. Lierse S.K. xG

Total xG

2.78

1.20

Excelsior Virton xG

46%
25%
29%
K. Lierse S.K.DrawExcelsior Virton

2.17

46%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

30%

K. Lierse S.K.

3.32

21%

Excelsior Virton

4.84

Win to Nil

14%

K. Lierse S.K.

7.20

6%

Excelsior Virton

16.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.5 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.8 11.8 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.3 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 1.199
Total xG 2.775
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.358
K. Lierse S.K. attack strength 0.886
K. Lierse S.K. defence strength 1.039
Excelsior Virton attack strength 0.850
Excelsior Virton defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 0