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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Zulte Waregem cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Francs Borains.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Zulte Waregem beat Francs Borains 1-3 at Stade Robert Urbain, Regular Season - 26, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Francs Borains 1.02 xG and Zulte Waregem 1.62 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Zulte Waregem outscored their 1.62 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Francs Borains attack 0.84 / defence 1.10 against Zulte Waregem attack 1.08 / defence 0.88, drawn from 55/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Francs Borains 24% | Draw 25% | Zulte Waregem 51%, with Zulte Waregem to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. Over 3.5 was 27% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Francs Borains 64%, Zulte Waregem 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Francs Borains's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Zulte Waregem's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Zulte Waregem arrived the stronger side — 1.85 PPG against 1.09. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Francs Borains (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.63 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Zulte Waregem (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.04 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights